BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

Florida State 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

Florida State 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 35.25 45.20 (+9.95) 13.30 14.95 (+1.65) 14.95 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 406.67 422.93 (+16.27) 259.90 263.92 (+4.02) 263.92 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.23 6.44 (+0.21) 4.34 4.48 (+0.14) 4.48 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 16.17 10.89 (-5.28) 29.80 23.45 (-6.35) 23.45 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 312.33 289.82 (-22.51) 401.10 354.98 (-46.12) 354.98 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.76 4.32 (-0.44) 5.91 5.51 (-0.40) 5.51 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.2

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-08-24 @Georgia Tech 10.13 24.42 +14.29 34.55 27.08% L 21-24 0-1
2024-09-02 Boston College 17.61 23.25 +5.64 40.86 40.95% L 13-28 0-2
2024-09-14 Memphis 18.40 27.72 +9.32 46.11 35.05% L 12-20 0-3
2024-09-21 California 13.41 23.75 +10.34 37.16 33.42% W 14-9 1-3
2024-09-29 @SMU 13.53 38.78 +25.25 52.32 9.51% L 16-42 1-4
2024-10-05 Clemson 14.64 34.47 +19.83 49.11 18.20% L 13-29 1-5
2024-10-18 @Duke 13.06 26.98 +13.92 40.04 27.67% L 16-23 1-6
2024-10-26 @Miami 14.00 44.33 +30.33 58.33 1.36% L 14-36 1-7
2024-11-02 North Carolina 19.39 31.24 +11.85 50.63 31.00% L 11-35 1-8
2024-11-10 @Notre Dame 5.31 39.68 +34.37 44.99 0.10% L 3-52 1-9
2024-11-23 Charleston Southern Non-FBS Opponent n/a n/a
2024-11-30 Florida 15.81 27.86 +12.05 43.66 30.67% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
1-11 0.07% 0.00% 100.00%
2-10 69.28% 0.07% 99.94%
3-9 30.66% 69.34% 30.66%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.01%
1-11 4.79%
2-10 17.43%
3-9 28.41%
4-8 26.63%
5-7 15.28%
6-6 5.83%
7-5 1.43%
8-4 0.20%
9-3 0.01%
10-2 0.00%