BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Florida State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Florida State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.25 |
45.20 (+9.95) |
14.83 |
16.80 (+1.97) |
23.90 (+7.10) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
406.67 |
422.93 (+16.27) |
275.17 |
279.15 (+3.98) |
315.09 (+35.95) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.23 |
6.44 (+0.21) |
4.58 |
4.58 (-0.00) |
5.04 (+0.47) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
16.17 |
10.89 (-5.28) |
25.33 |
20.88 (-4.46) |
18.38 (-2.50) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
312.33 |
289.82 (-22.51) |
406.00 |
377.19 (-28.81) |
355.35 (-21.84) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.76 |
4.32 (-0.44) |
5.99 |
5.75 (-0.23) |
5.40 (-0.36) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-24 |
@Georgia Tech |
22.01 |
24.82 |
+2.81 |
46.83 |
45.49% |
L 21-24 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-02 |
Boston College |
25.06 |
19.43 |
-5.63 |
44.50 |
59.03% |
L 13-28 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Memphis |
25.70 |
21.53 |
-4.17 |
47.23 |
56.69% |
L 12-20 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
California |
19.77 |
21.43 |
+1.66 |
41.19 |
47.34% |
W 14-9 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-29 |
@SMU |
19.46 |
33.47 |
+14.02 |
52.93 |
27.52% |
L 16-42 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Clemson |
22.34 |
30.53 |
+8.19 |
52.86 |
36.87% |
L 13-29 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-18 |
@Duke |
17.02 |
23.42 |
+6.40 |
40.44 |
39.74% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Miami |
17.87 |
34.62 |
+16.76 |
52.49 |
23.12% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
North Carolina |
29.90 |
29.02 |
-0.87 |
58.92 |
51.40% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Notre Dame |
11.85 |
33.81 |
+21.96 |
45.66 |
14.77% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Charleston Southern |
Non-FBS Opponent |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Florida |
21.33 |
21.23 |
-0.10 |
42.56 |
50.17% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
9.50% |
0.01% |
99.99% |
| 3-9 |
30.75% |
9.51% |
90.49% |
| 4-8 |
36.08% |
40.26% |
59.74% |
| 5-7 |
19.04% |
76.34% |
23.66% |
| 6-6 |
4.29% |
95.37% |
4.63% |
| 7-5 |
0.34% |
99.66% |
0.34% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.19% |
| 2-10 |
1.94% |
| 3-9 |
7.35% |
| 4-8 |
16.63% |
| 5-7 |
24.23% |
| 6-6 |
23.45% |
| 7-5 |
15.89% |
| 8-4 |
7.44% |
| 9-3 |
2.37% |
| 10-2 |
0.45% |
| 11-1 |
0.05% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |